The Robins Nest Forum

….off the play-offs

I thought you might have started a win countdown until we're safe, but maybe you're right to wait and see how many we need for promotion...

Shade wrote:I thought you might have started a win countdown until we're safe, but maybe you're right to wait and see how many we need for promotion...

Countdowns only start once it is known whether we will be in a relegation battle or promotion/play off hunt.

If we are a clear midtable side as I think we will be then we won’t need a prediction thread at all.

Far too early to tell in any case. It is usually Jan/Feb, with exceptions like last season or the Johnson NL season where it was known from about October that we were a title contender.

Even still...how many wins do we need until we are safe? If it's 51/84 in League Two, is it the same in League One? I'd guess at it not.

Shade wrote:Even still...how many wins do we need until we are safe? If it's 51/84 in League Two, is it the same in League One? I'd guess at it not.

Hopefully 51/84 will enlighten us!

84 would make sense for promotion, but you'd imagine you need more than 51 points for safety given 4 teams go down.

With that being said, 21st place in recent years have had:

20/21 - 47 points
18/19 - 50 points
17/18 - 50 points
16/17 - 49 points
15/16 - 46 points

So 51 would be enough.

54 points the target in this league with four relegation spots. I think we should be aiming for the 58-60 points range this season which I would hope could secure our highest placed finish.

RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:

Shade wrote:Even still...how many wins do we need until we are safe? If it's 51/84 in League Two, is it the same in League One? I'd guess at it not.

Hopefully 51/84 will enlighten us!

51/84 hasnt logged in since last season so hope all is ok there.

I always thought 51/84 was a second account for another fairly regular poster with a similar style of posting.

Shade wrote:I always thought 51/84 was a second account for another fairly regular poster with a similar style of posting.

Angarod.

58 - 60 points
Surely we should be aiming higher than this !!!
65/70 at least.
It will be a season of nail biting else and we didnt come up for that !

triggo wrote:58 - 60 points
Surely we should be aiming higher than this !!!
65/70 at least.
It will be a season of nail biting else and we didnt come up for that !

We are used to having nail biting seasons when we get promoted to League One.
2002/03 relegated on the last day of the season. 2006/07 stayed up on the penultimate game of the season. 2007/08 stayed up after that famous win over Donny Rovers on the last day of the season. We’ll forget about the 2008/09 farce, at least on the pitch. The nail biting thing in that season was if the club was going to go into administration.
Onwards and upwards, in Duff we trust.

I think 65 points is a perfectly reasonable amount expectation.

I personally think it would take something major (losing key players or Duff) to get sucked into a relegation scrap, which would be disappointing.

65 points would see us finish top half that would be a big achievement in my view. Whilst I don't think we will go down I do suspect we will have to keep an eye over our shoulders this season and that will cause some fans to panic/boil over at times.

Yes , but we also came up via play offs.
I think we are better than that this time around.
Glass half full here

52 points was always the generic safety target for League One.

triggo wrote:Yes , but we also came up via play offs.
I think we are better than that this time around.
Glass half full here

Agree. I personally think our team is the best we have had in terms of how they play as a group. The likes of Boyle, Hussey, Sercombe and Wright are the best individuals we have ever had I believe, and I also think that in terms of tactics, coaching and fitness Duff is the best manager we have ever had.

All our players will get better week by week under Duff. I don’t think there will be any need to look over our shoulders.

Four points off promotion.

PPG trajectory for 59 points currently, which I think is below where we will finish.

One point off play offs. Four points off top.

Ten games later than the original post and we are still only four points off.

Only 11 points off the top and a seemingly hapless Donnie Rovers away on Saturday. Where's the ambition...

Bouncing back after the Doncaster match and subsequent winless blip.

Just six points off the play offs now….with Wright coming back.